Think your number or color has to hit soon? The longest recorded streak of one color in roulette in American casino history happened in 1943 when the color red won 32 consecutive times. Monte Carlo is in Monaco, and it’s a lot like Las Vegas, just yawnier.) (It’s called that because one of the most famous examples of this concept took place at a Monte Carlo casino in 1913. More than a few players have been stung by the Monte Carlo fallacy. And not surprisingly, those odds always favor the house. There’s really no such thing as a certain outcome being “overdue.” The odds remain the same, no matter what’s transpired during a previous roll or spin.

You’ve probably even heard the expression, “The dice have no memory.” As in life, just because something has happened a lot in the past doesn’t mean it’s more or less likely to happen in the future. What Is Gambler's Fallacy?īut here’s why it’s a myth: Every roll of the dice, and every spin at roulette, is its own thing.

Seriously, black has hit, like, six times in a row. The “gambler’s fallacy,” and the “Monte Carlo fallacy,” and even “the fallacy of the maturity of chances.” It all boils down to one basic, misguided belief: In games of chance, like roulette or craps, if a certain outcome hasn’t happened in awhile, it’s more likely to occur in the future. You may go to Vegas for the shows or the restaurants, and maybe catch a little of the nightlife in Las Vegas, but in the casino you can really capitalize on your trip if you can avoid the Monte Carlo gambler's fallacy.It’s called a number of things.

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